Neighborhood Price Index
Updated weekly · April 27, 2026
How are Triangle neighborhoods priced relative to comparable homes? This report analyzes 800 neighborhoods using recent closed sales data, adjusting for home size, age, and seasonality to reveal where pricing runs above, below, or in line with the broader market. Learn how it works →
Data source: Wake, Durham & Chatham County Public Records · Single-family homes · 365-day lookback
Top 10 Premium-Priced
Neighborhoods where recent sales consistently closed above comparable homes. Buyers may face stronger competition and less room to negotiate.
| # | Neighborhood | Price Index | Premium | Sales | Data Depth | Median Price | Median $/sqft |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grand Highland Estates | 99.9 | +77.8% | 8 | Thin | $2,187,500 | $398 |
| 2 | Prescott | 99.9 | +56.2% | 13 | Thin | $1,375,000 | $337 |
| 3 | Sanctuary At Lake Wheeler | 99.9 | +66.3% | 12 | Thin | $1,638,250 | $368 |
| 4 | Waterstone Reserve | 99.9 | +52.9% | 5 | Thin | $1,500,000 | $350 |
| 5 | Wexford | 99.9 | +66.5% | 11 | Thin | $1,520,000 | $364 |
| 6 | Mordecai | 99.9 | +60.9% | 14 | Thin | $1,006,750 | $408 |
| 7 | Battery Heights | 99.7 | +43.9% | 7 | Thin | $675,000 | $354 |
| 8 | Carolina Country Club | 99.7 | +45.7% | 6 | Thin | $1,787,500 | $532 |
| 9 | Drewry Hills | 99.7 | +45.1% | 10 | Thin | $1,612,500 | $506 |
| 10 | The Reserve At Falls Lake | 99.6 | +42.3% | 5 | Thin | $1,702,500 | $379 |
Top 10 Value-Priced
Neighborhoods where recent sales closed below comparable homes. This may indicate more negotiating room, less buyer competition, or differences in home condition not captured in public records.
| # | Neighborhood | Price Index | Discount | Sales | Data Depth | Median Price | Median $/sqft |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parker Station | 2.2 | -23.8% | 8 | Thin | $394,000 | $158 |
| 2 | Dutchman Creek | 2.3 | -23.6% | 5 | Thin | $320,000 | $129 |
| 3 | Fox Run | 2.3 | -23.6% | 10 | Thin | $597,500 | $242 |
| 4 | Highland Trails | 2.6 | -23.1% | 5 | Thin | $392,000 | $196 |
| 5 | Prestleigh | 5.0 | -19.8% | 39 | Deep | $437,500 | $176 |
| 6 | Springhill | 5.1 | -19.8% | 6 | Thin | $433,000 | $180 |
| 7 | Glen Royall | 5.4 | -19.5% | 6 | Thin | $322,750 | $251 |
| 8 | Caddell Woods | 5.9 | -18.9% | 5 | Thin | $470,000 | $166 |
| 9 | Medfield Estates | 6.2 | -18.7% | 6 | Thin | $566,750 | $279 |
| 10 | John's Pointe | 7.0 | -18.0% | 5 | Thin | $324,000 | $161 |
Top 10 Premium-Priced
Neighborhoods where recent sales consistently closed above comparable homes. Buyers may face stronger competition and less room to negotiate.
| # | Neighborhood | Price Index | Premium | Sales | Data Depth | Median Price | Median $/sqft |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Del Webb Carolina Arbors | 97.7 | +30.3% | 77 | Deep | $565,000 | $302 |
| 2 | Courtyards At Oak Grove | 97.3 | +29.1% | 6 | Thin | $618,750 | $303 |
| 3 | Croasdaile | 97.3 | +29.0% | 22 | Solid | $1,137,500 | $293 |
| 4 | The Oaks | 96.3 | +26.7% | 9 | Thin | $1,120,000 | $372 |
| 5 | Creekside At Bethpage | 96.1 | +26.4% | 37 | Deep | $560,000 | $295 |
| 6 | Colonial Village | 96.0 | +26.1% | 5 | Thin | $381,000 | $334 |
| 7 | Englewood | 95.4 | +24.9% | 6 | Thin | $617,500 | $432 |
| 8 | Northgate | 94.4 | +23.5% | 8 | Thin | $398,000 | $365 |
| 9 | Fendol Farms | 89.1 | +17.8% | 10 | Thin | $542,500 | $293 |
| 10 | The View | 88.2 | +17.0% | 17 | Solid | $701,000 | $255 |
Top 10 Value-Priced
Neighborhoods where recent sales closed below comparable homes. This may indicate more negotiating room, less buyer competition, or differences in home condition not captured in public records.
| # | Neighborhood | Price Index | Discount | Sales | Data Depth | Median Price | Median $/sqft |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irvinwood | 2.7 | -22.6% | 5 | Thin | $325,500 | $162 |
| 2 | Old Farm | 3.5 | -21.3% | 15 | Solid | $340,000 | $171 |
| 3 | Scarsdale Village | 3.8 | -20.9% | 8 | Thin | $380,000 | $195 |
| 4 | West Hills | 5.5 | -19.1% | 7 | Thin | $345,000 | $223 |
| 5 | Ganyard Farm | 6.0 | -18.6% | 5 | Thin | $378,500 | $165 |
| 6 | Mistletoe Hills | 6.3 | -18.3% | 6 | Thin | $379,500 | $213 |
| 7 | Cardinal Lake | 7.2 | -17.6% | 13 | Thin | $377,000 | $161 |
| 8 | Ridgewood | 8.3 | -16.8% | 20 | Solid | $341,250 | $196 |
| 9 | Colony Woods | 8.6 | -16.5% | 7 | Thin | $565,000 | $269 |
| 10 | Ravenstone | 9.8 | -15.7% | 17 | Solid | $459,000 | $176 |
Top 10 Premium-Priced
Neighborhoods where recent sales consistently closed above comparable homes. Buyers may face stronger competition and less room to negotiate.
| # | Neighborhood | Price Index | Premium | Sales | Data Depth | Median Price | Median $/sqft |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Oaks | 98.3 | +29.1% | 6 | Thin | $1,857,500 | $437 |
| 2 | Meadowmont | 95.7 | +23.1% | 9 | Thin | $770,000 | $413 |
| 3 | Lake Forest | 92.0 | +18.6% | 9 | Thin | $1,200,000 | $351 |
| 4 | Williams Glen | 86.0 | +14.0% | 6 | Thin | $882,750 | $255 |
| 5 | Fiori Hill | 84.9 | +13.3% | 5 | Thin | $545,000 | $309 |
| 6 | Laurel Hill | 83.9 | +12.8% | 5 | Thin | $945,000 | $381 |
| 7 | Southern Village | 80.5 | +11.0% | 22 | Solid | $888,250 | $349 |
Top 10 Value-Priced
Neighborhoods where recent sales closed below comparable homes. This may indicate more negotiating room, less buyer competition, or differences in home condition not captured in public records.
| # | Neighborhood | Price Index | Discount | Sales | Data Depth | Median Price | Median $/sqft |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Winmore | 9.9 | -14.4% | 5 | Thin | $590,000 | $281 |
| 2 | Weatherhill | 10.9 | -13.9% | 9 | Thin | $275,000 | $178 |
| 3 | Briarcliff | 11.0 | -13.8% | 16 | Solid | $635,000 | $257 |
| 4 | Colonial Hills | 11.9 | -13.3% | 5 | Thin | $330,000 | $212 |
Top 10 Premium-Priced
Neighborhoods where recent sales consistently closed above comparable homes. Buyers may face stronger competition and less room to negotiate.
| # | Neighborhood | Price Index | Premium | Sales | Data Depth | Median Price | Median $/sqft |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montvale | 95.0 | +41.1% | 6 | Thin | $1,848,250 | $449 |
| 2 | South Hickory Mountain | 94.5 | +39.6% | 8 | Thin | $462,500 | $294 |
| 3 | North Cape Fear | 93.8 | +37.7% | 6 | Thin | $960,000 | $339 |
| 4 | Destin | 92.7 | +35.5% | 6 | Thin | $1,887,500 | $437 |
| 5 | Seaforth Landing | 88.2 | +28.0% | 7 | Thin | $1,350,000 | $369 |
| 6 | Colvard Farms | 86.4 | +25.8% | 6 | Thin | $1,152,500 | $317 |
| 7 | North West Baldwin | 85.5 | +24.8% | 5 | Thin | $680,000 | $289 |
Top 10 Value-Priced
Neighborhoods where recent sales closed below comparable homes. This may indicate more negotiating room, less buyer competition, or differences in home condition not captured in public records.
| # | Neighborhood | Price Index | Discount | Sales | Data Depth | Median Price | Median $/sqft |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aunt Bee's | 0.8 | -39.3% | 5 | Thin | $220,000 | $127 |
| 2 | Goldston | 4.1 | -30.4% | 5 | Thin | $225,000 | $141 |
| 3 | East Siler City | 9.7 | -23.7% | 5 | Thin | $125,000 | $119 |
| 4 | Potterstone Village | 18.7 | -16.9% | 10 | Thin | $535,000 | $215 |
Price Index Distribution
Data Depth Distribution
Price Index vs. Data Depth
Market Seasonal Index
Quick Reference
- Price Index (0–100): Where a neighborhood falls on the pricing spectrum. Higher = homes selling above comparable properties; lower = a relative discount.
- Premium / Discount (%): The estimated percentage difference vs. comparable homes elsewhere.
- Data Depth: How much sales data backs up the score. Deep = 30+ sales; Solid = 15–29 sales; Thin = fewer than 15 sales.
- Premium-Priced (Index ≥ 80): Sales consistently above comparable homes. Market-Aligned (21–79): In line with comparable homes. Value-Priced (≤ 20): Sales below comparable homes.
The Price Index measures pricing dynamics, not neighborhood quality or desirability. A lower score does not mean a less desirable place to live.
This report is for informational purposes only and is not a substitute for professional real estate advice. Pricing dynamics reflect recent closed sales data from county public records and do not represent a judgment on neighborhood quality, safety, schools, or desirability. Always consult a licensed real estate professional before making buying or selling decisions.
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